Thursday 21 June 2012

What is mean by beta stocks?


What is beta?
Beta is a measure of systematic risk, a risk that cannot be avoided by diversifying one’s portfolio. In simple terms, it measures the volatility of a stock’s returns in comparison to the market. Beta is used to calculate a stock’s expected return in the widely followed capital asset pricing model (CAPM).
E(R) = RFR + β*ERP
where E(R) = expected returns of a stock
RFR = Risk free rate (for example, government/sovereign bonds)
β – beta
ERP – expected risk premium calculated as expected returns on market – risk free rate
For ease, the beta for NSE stocks is measured relative to a index.
Why is beta measure important?
Beta measure is significant because it tells you how a stock’s returns are commensurate with the market especially in a highly volatile period such as the period after August 2011, . High beta stocks fall rapidly during market decline and gain more than the market during a rally. High risk, high returns is the premise.
β = covariance of a stock’s returns relative to market returns/ variance of market
Covariance is a statistical measure that defines the movement of two variables.  It can take any value from -ve  inifinity to +ve infinity; the number by itself doesn’t convey anything.
What does a beta value of 1.3 or 0.8 mean?
A stock’s beta of 1.3 implies the stock is 30% more volatile than the market or index it is compared against. Commodity and banking stocks usually have a higher beta whereas defensive stocks have a beta lesser than 1. A beta of 0.8 indicates the stock is 20%  lesser volatile than the market.
How is beta computed?
Beta is calculated using regression analysis (some hi-fi stuff that we’ll not get into). But, if you’re really interested on knowing more about linear regression analysis, check these out.
Beta values of Nifty stocks – NSE
Note : When you analyse the returns of the all the stocks (including the low beta ones) over the same period, it is safe to conclude that returns of a good percentage of high beta stocks have exceeded market returns; and low beta stocks have under performed the index.

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